{"id":90236,"date":"2018-11-22T23:47:51","date_gmt":"2018-11-22T21:47:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ngradio.gr\/?p=90236\/"},"modified":"2020-06-18T22:41:01","modified_gmt":"2020-06-18T19:41:01","slug":"oscar-beat-best-actor-predictions-bale-vs-cooper-showdown","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ngradio.gr\/en\/cinema-tv\/oscar-beat-best-actor-predictions-bale-vs-cooper-showdown\/","title":{"rendered":"Oscar Beat: Best Actor Predictions \u2013 It\u2019s a Bale vs. Cooper Showdown"},"content":{"rendered":"

You never quite know what you\u2019re going to get from the Best Actor category each year. Sometimes it\u2019s sewn up pretty early by an undeniably transformative performance, and it\u2019s mostly just a walk towards inevitability (see:\u00a0Gary Oldman<\/strong>\u00a0in\u00a0Darkest Hour<\/em>). Other times, it\u2019s neck-and-neck all the way up through Oscar night, as with the battle between\u00a0Sean Penn<\/strong>\u00a0(Milk<\/em>) and\u00a0Mickey Rourke<\/strong>\u00a0(The Wrestler<\/em>). What makes 2018 exciting is that we kind of thought the race was going one way, but then a late arrival truly shook things up.<\/p>\n

Indeed, the early frontrunner for Best Actor this year was and has been\u00a0Bradley Cooper<\/strong>\u00a0in\u00a0A Star Is Born<\/em><\/strong><\/a>. Cooper\u2019s directorial debut is undoubtedly the heavyweight this season, and the actor\u2019s soulful, nuanced performance has drawn raves from critics and audiences alike. It also doesn\u2019t hurt that actors make up the largest voting branch of the Academy, and Cooper absolutely nailing his directorial debut is a swell narrative. The guy has been putting in the work, doing the necessary Q&A\u2019s and rounds that make an Oscar win possible, and unless something crazy happens, he\u2019s absolutely getting nominated.<\/p>\n

\"vice-christian-bale-amy-adams\"
Image via Matt Kennedy \/ Annapurna Pictures<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

But Cooper isn\u2019t alone at the top anymore. This past weekend,\u00a0Adam McKay<\/strong>\u2019s Dick Cheney movie\u00a0Vice<\/em><\/strong><\/a>was finally unveiled, and everyone\u2019s raving about\u00a0Christian Bale<\/strong>\u2019s transformative performance as the former Vice President. Oh yes, there\u2019s nothing the Oscars love more than a \u201ctransformative\u201d performance\u2014five of the last six Best Actor winners have physically transformed themselves in a significant way for their winning roles\u2014and Bale is an Oscar regular having previously picked up three nominations and one win. So yeah, Bale is almost certainly getting nominated, and it\u2019s going to be a very interesting race to the finish line with these two actors leading the pack.<\/p>\n

Coming in just behind Cooper and Bale, however, is another somewhat unexpected entry into this year\u2019s race.\u00a0Peter Farrelly<\/strong>\u2019s feel-good true-story buddy comedy\/drama\u00a0Green Book<\/em><\/strong><\/a>\u00a0took TIFF audiences by storm and has become a genuine contender.\u00a0Viggo Mortensen<\/strong>\u00a0plays a somewhat racist New York bouncer who is hired to drive a black musician (Mahershala Ali<\/strong>) through the Deep South in the 1960s, and along the way the two opposites become fast friends. The crowdpleasing film is expected to be a strong word-of-mouth hit with audiences, and Mortensen delivers an undeniably impressive turn, even if the film\u2019s subtext about comforting the bigotry of white people is a bit troubling.<\/p>\n

With\u00a0Green Book<\/em>\u00a0expected to be a serious player in Best Picture and possibly even Best Director, a nomination for Mortensen feels likely. There was some question as to how Universal Pictures would be submitting Mortensen and Ali\u2014if the two would compete against each other in Best Actor\u2014but Ali is being submitted for Best Supporting Actor for what\u2019s really more of a co-lead performance, so that bodes well for Mortensen and I imagine he\u2019ll be among the nominees once those names are called in January.<\/p>\n

\"bohemian-rhapsody-rami-malek-freddie-mercury\"
Image via 20th Century Fox<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

But beyond these three performances, there are a number of other impressive turns that may or may not make the cut.\u00a0Rami Malek<\/strong>transforms (there\u2019s that word again) as Freddie Mercury in the biopic\u00a0Bohemian Rhapsody<\/em><\/strong>, but the film\u2019s tepid reviews and director drama don\u2019t exactly work in his favor. That said, bad reviews don\u2019t necessarily tank Oscar acting chances (see:\u00a0Denzel Washington<\/strong>\u00a0in\u00a0Roman J. Israel Esq.<\/em>), so Malek still has a solid shot at getting in.<\/p>\n

There\u2019s also a pair of critically acclaimed performances in small but interesting films.\u00a0Ethan Hawke<\/strong>\u00a0delivers quite possibly the best performance of his career as a troubled reverend in\u00a0Paul Schrader<\/strong>\u2019s challenging drama\u00a0First Reformed<\/em><\/strong><\/a>, and\u00a0Willem Dafoe<\/strong>\u00a0is drawing strong notices for his turn as Vincent van Gogh in the unique biopic\u00a0At Eternity\u2019s Gate<\/em><\/strong>. The likelihood of these performances getting nominated will largely depend on how strong of an impression they make on the upcoming critics awards, which in turn will either spur Academy voters to actually watch these movies via their screeners or allow them to keep putting them off.<\/p>\n

Spike Lee<\/strong>\u2019s\u00a0BlacKkKlansman<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0is expected to make a showing with Oscar voters, though it remains to be seen just how strong of a showing that will be. The film could notch Best Picture and Adapted Screenplay nominations, and Lee could land in the Director\u2019s circle as well. If voters really spark to the movie, I wouldn\u2019t be surprised to see\u00a0John David Washington<\/strong>\u00a0recognized for his terrific lead performance as a black cop who goes undercover to infiltrate a local KKK chapter.<\/p>\n

\"first-man-ryan-gosling\"
Image via Universal Pictures<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

And of course there\u2019s the\u00a0Ryan Gosling<\/strong>\u00a0of it all. Sight-unseen, Gosling was a favorite for this category this year for his role as Neil Armstrong in Oscar-winning\u00a0La La Land<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0filmmaker\u00a0Damien Chazelle<\/strong>\u2019s biopic\u00a0First Man<\/em><\/strong>. However, while the film drew some strong reviews, it has since kind of fallen out of the conversation following a pretty dismal showing at the box office. I happen to find Gosling\u2019s internalized performance to be an impressive show of restraint, but the Oscars aren\u2019t necessarily about nuance, and even before the film faded away I was dubious that this was the kind of performance Oscar voters would flock to. Now that\u00a0First Man<\/em>\u00a0may not even land a Best Picture nomination, it feels like Gosling is destined to be overshadowed by more \u201cshowy\u201d performances from other contenders. But a lot can change between now and January, and it\u2019s possible Universal has a plan to get\u00a0First Man<\/em>back in the conversation in this crucial next phase of the season.<\/p>\n

Academy voters could also spring for what may or may not be\u00a0Robert Redford<\/strong>\u2019s final performance in\u00a0The Old Man & the Gun<\/em><\/strong>, a film that I have a feeling may get a bit of a second wind during the critics awards phase of the season. There\u2019s also past nominee\u00a0Lucas Hedges<\/strong>\u2019 strong turn in\u00a0Boy Erased<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0to consider, though that film has made a smaller splash on Oscar season than some expected. Ditto to\u00a0Beautiful Boy<\/em><\/strong>, although\u00a0Steve Carell<\/strong>\u2019s powerful performance as the father of someone struggling through addiction lingers and is absolutely worthy of consideration.<\/p>\n

\"if-beale-street-could-talk-stephan-james\"
Image via Annapurna Pictures<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Also worthy but maybe something of a longer shot is\u00a0Stephan James<\/strong>\u2019 soulful performance in\u00a0If Beale Street Could Talk<\/em><\/strong><\/a>. Filmmaker\u00a0Barry Jenkins<\/strong>\u2019 follow-up to\u00a0Moonlight<\/em><\/strong>\u00a0is a very quiet, very restrained, very intimate film, so I\u2019m curious to see how Academy voters take to it.\u00a0Regina King<\/strong>\u00a0feels like the movie\u2019s best shot at an acting nod, but James and his co-star\u00a0KiKi Layne<\/strong>\u00a0do swell work as the film\u2019s romantic leads.<\/p>\n

On the outside looking in, it remains to be seen if\u00a0Clint Eastwood<\/strong>\u2019s\u00a0The Mule<\/em><\/strong><\/a>\u2014which, and I cannot stress this enough, Eastwood started shooting\u00a0in June of this year<\/em>\u00a0and is now being released in December\u2014is an Oscar contender. On the one hand, the Oscars love to acknowledge industry veterans and Eastwood has been an Academy favorite in the past. On the other hand, will voters be quick to forgive Eastwood\u2019s atrocious\u00a0The 15:17 to Paris<\/em><\/strong>, which also hit theaters in 2018? And if\u00a0Black Panther\u00a0<\/em><\/strong>truly is a Best Picture contender,\u00a0Chadwick Boseman\u00a0<\/strong>deserves at least a mention here.<\/p>\n

And so that about does it. We\u2019ve got\u00a0a lot<\/em>\u00a0of contenders in the Best Actor race, and I could very easily see some that I\u2019ve put further down on the list making a big splash in December to vault towards the top. Cooper and Bale still feel like the pretty firm frontrunners at this point in time, but beyond that it\u2019s kind of anyone\u2019s guess.<\/p>\n

So see below for my full Best Actor predictions, in order of likelihood to be nominated. And check back tomorrow for my take on the Best Director race.<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Source:\u00a0collider.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

You never quite know what you\u2019re going to get from the Best Actor category each year. Sometimes it\u2019s sewn up pretty early by an undeniably transformative performance, and it\u2019s mostly just a walk towards inevitability (see:\u00a0Gary Oldman\u00a0in\u00a0Darkest Hour). Other times, it\u2019s neck-and-neck all the way up through Oscar night, as ...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":90237,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13867],"tags":[6102],"class_list":["post-90236","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cinema-tv","tag-oscar-en"],"acf":false,"yoast_head":"\nOscar Beat: Best Actor Predictions \u2013 It\u2019s a Bale vs. Cooper Showdown - NGradio.gr<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ngradio.gr\/en\/cinema-tv\/oscar-beat-best-actor-predictions-bale-vs-cooper-showdown\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Oscar Beat: Best Actor Predictions \u2013 It\u2019s a Bale vs. Cooper Showdown - NGradio.gr\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"You never quite know what you\u2019re going to get from the Best Actor category each year. 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Sometimes it\u2019s sewn up pretty early by an undeniably transformative performance, and it\u2019s mostly just a walk towards inevitability (see:\u00a0Gary Oldman\u00a0in\u00a0Darkest Hour). 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