{"id":92523,"date":"2019-01-19T00:41:08","date_gmt":"2019-01-18T22:41:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ngradio.gr\/?p=92523\/"},"modified":"2020-06-17T23:59:23","modified_gmt":"2020-06-17T20:59:23","slug":"2019-oscar-nomination-predictions-final-selections-ranked-category","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ngradio.gr\/en\/cinema-tv\/2019-oscar-nomination-predictions-final-selections-ranked-category\/","title":{"rendered":"2019 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Our Final Selections, Ranked for Each Category"},"content":{"rendered":"

The race is on between global blockbuster “A Star Is Born,” likely to score the most nominations, and Netflix’s Golden Globe and Critics Choice winner “Roma.”<\/strong><\/p>\n

The 2019 Oscar race is all about Best Popular Film. Not only does the Academy not need that new category after all this year (or it seems, a well-liked Oscar host), but more big-grossers than ever are vying for spots on the final Oscar ballot to be revealed on January 22. Which might mean more people will tune into an Oscar show, rooting for mainstream movies they actually care about.<\/p>\n

But while more popular hits, led by Bradley Cooper\u2019s blockbuster \u201cA Star is Born<\/a>,\u201d (Warner Bros.) are in contention for multiple categories including Best Picture, bragging rights may still wind up with Netflix\u2019s first bonafide Best Picture candidate, Alfonso Cuar\u00f3n\u2019s cinephile-dream \u201cRoma<\/a>,\u201d which commanded a more robust arthouse release than any Netflix film to date, along with a lavish promotional campaign, and has been widely viewed on the global streaming platform.<\/p>\n

The Golden Globe and Critics Choice winner and Mexico\u2019s\u00a0black-and-white foreign-language Oscar entry, \u201cRoma\u201d is a hybrid four-hankie drama driven by artistic and technological ambitions that delivers a strong message about social strata in Mexico. It is shaping up to be a strong contender for the Best Picture prize.<\/p>\n

But only triple threat Bradley Cooper\u2019s \u201cA Star is Born\u201d \u2014 a contemporary backstage musical update of the familiar story made three times before \u2014 has a perfect score on guild nominations, showing strong support from both actors and crafts, including SAG Ensemble, DGA, PGA and WGA nods. And Spike Lee\u2019s provocative true story \u201cBlacKkKlansman<\/a>\u201d (Focus Features) also boasts that recognition from all four guilds, but with less craft support.<\/p>\n

By my tally, \u201cRoma,\u201d \u201cA Star Is Born\u201d and \u201cThe Favourite\u201d will rack up 10 nominations apiece, followed by \u201cBlack Panther<\/a>\u201d and \u201cFirst Man\u201d with eight, \u201cVice \u201d with seven, \u201cMary Poppins Returns\u201d with six, \u201cBlacKkKlansman\u201d and \u201cBohemian Rhapsody\u201d with five, and \u201cGreen Book\u201d with four.<\/p>\n

\n
\"4117_D017_09462_R
\u201cBlacKkKlansman\u201d David Lee<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n<\/div>\n

Clearly, $30-million \u201cA Star Is Born\u201d boasts the most support from the Academy\u2019s 17 branches and will earn the most nominations: by my count, 10. Why so many? Rookie Cooper has crafted a moving romantic drama with compelling live performances by himself and Lady Gaga, who will inevitably win Best Song.\u00a0Academy voters are moved by this fourth update of the venerable show business story. No other film boasts such wide support. But as impeccably crafted as the movie is, Cooper may have made a high degree of difficulty look too easy. Is \u201cA Star Is Born\u201d the movie Academy voters want to represent Hollywood at this place and time? In recent years they have leaned into harder-hitting socially-conscious dramas like \u201cMoonlight,\u201d \u201cSpotlight,\u201d and \u201c12 Years a Slave.\u201d<\/p>\n

\n
\"Ryan
\u201cBlack Panther\u201d\u00a0Disney<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n<\/div>\n

Ryan Coogler\u2019s SAG Ensemble and PGA nominee \u201cBlack Panther,\u201d Marvel\u2019s lauded historic chart-buster, also boasts strong craft backing and landed a SAG Ensemble nod \u2013but without any acting nominations. As Marvel villain Killmonger, Michael B. Jordan plays the film\u2019s most nuanced and layered character, but hasn\u2019t gained traction in the Supporting Actor race, and Coogler did not land a nod from the mainstream DGA. At age 32, he may be deemed young enough to return another year. And as much of a cultural achievement as \u201cBlack Panther\u201d is, many still consider it a comic-book movie.<\/p>\n

Two films based on real people landed SAG (but not ensemble), DGA, PGA and WGA nominations: true 60s road movie \u201cGreen Book\u201d (Peter Farrelly) should score for its two popular stars Viggo Mortensen and Mahershala Ali as well as Original Screenplay, as it battles complaints that the story is told from the white point of view; \u201cVice\u201d will also get support from the writers and actors branches for writer-director Adam McKay and Globe and Critics Choice-winner Christian Bale (this year\u2019s Gary Oldman) and long-overdue Amy Adams as Republican power couple Dick and Lynne Cheney. Both films have passionate backers.<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"
\u201cCrazy Rich Asians\u201d\u00a0Sanja Bucko<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n<\/div>\n

Beyond the top five contenders for Best Picture, the field could wind up with up to 10 nominees, depending on how passionate voters are this year.\u00a0While inclusion is still a strong factor with an increasingly diverse voting body, it looks unlikely than any women will score Director slots this year, and ground-breaking Oscar-nominated Rachel Morrison (\u201cMudbound\u201d) is a long-shot for cinematography for \u201cBlack Panther,\u201d although her teammates Hannah Beachler and Ruth Carter are strong contenders for Production and Costume Design, respectively.<\/p>\n

Only thirty-one percent of Academy voters, however, are women. So we could also see the Academy\u2019s dominant white-male contingent swing toward action movie \u201cBlack Panther\u201d (eight likely nominations) and Queen musical \u201cBohemian Rhapsody\u201d (five likely nominations, including Globes Best Actor-winner Rami Malek).<\/p>\n

\n
\""A
\u201cA Quiet Place\u201d\u00a0Paramount<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n<\/div>\n

This year, two other popular entries took PGA Top Ten slots, John Krasinski\u2019s well-mounted virtually silent thriller \u201cA Quiet Place\u201d and Jon M. Chu\u2019s rollicking romantic comedy \u201cCrazy Rich Asians.\u201d \u201cA Quiet Place,\u201d starring Emily Blunt (who also earned kudos in the title role in \u201cMary Poppins Returns\u201d) could register in the Sound or Supporting Actress categories, while \u201cCrazy Rich Asians\u201d also landed a SAG Ensemble nomination and the Critics Choice Comedy award. Star\u00a0Michelle Yeoh<\/a>\u00a0is a long-shot for Supporting Actress.<\/p>\n

Historically, stats reveal that SAG Ensemble winners don\u2019t always match up with Best Picture nominations or wins. Last year\u2019s Ensemble winner was Fox Searchlight comedy \u201cThree Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri,\u201d which took home SAG and Oscar statues for Best Actress Frances McDormand and Supporting Actor Sam Rockwell. But \u201cThe Shape of Water\u201d became the second Best Picture Oscar winner in 23 years without a SAG Ensemble nomination, following \u201cBraveheart\u201d back in 1995. Neither 2015\u2019s \u201cThe Revenant\u201d nor 2016\u2019s \u201cLa La Land,\u201d both missing SAG Ensemble nominations, were able to achieve a Best Picture win.<\/p>\n

Thus, \u201cRoma,\u201d which won the often-predictive top Critics\u2019 Choice award, could also win Best Picture without landing a SAG Ensemble nomination. An Oscar nomination for Yalitza Aparicio would reveal some support from the Academy\u2019s dominant actors branch, which has come through for both non-pro actors (Haing S. Ngor of \u201cThe Killing Fields\u201d) and Harold Russell (\u201cThe Best Years of Our Lives\u201d) as well as such foreign-language stars as Isabelle Huppert and Marion Cotillard.<\/p>\n

\n
\""Bohemian
\u201cBohemian Rhapsody\u201d\u00a020th Century Fox\/YouTube<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n<\/div>\n

\u201cBohemian Rhapsody\u201d is an anomaly this year, winning the Best Drama Golden Globe\u00a0and Best Actor for Malek (which really doesn\u2019t mean much in Oscar terms) as well as a more meaningful SAG Ensemble nomination and Best Actor slot. The musical also has landed many craft guild nominations, which indicates wide support. However, a directing nomination is unlikely for non-DGA nominee Bryan Singer, who was fired from the movie and is tainted by sexual assault allegations. While it\u2019s hard to imagine many voters putting a Queen biopic with a Metascore of 49 at number one on their Best Picture nomination ballot, it could be in their top five. Don\u2019t be shocked if \u201cBohemian Rhapsody\u201d squeezes into the Best Picture race.<\/p>\n

\n
\"Emma
Emma Stone in the \u201cThe Favourite\u201d\u00a0Yorgos Lanthimos<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n<\/div>\n

More typical of recent Oscar entries is specialty hit \u201cThe Favourite\u201d (Fox Searchlight), which surprisingly did not land a SAG Ensemble nod, although its three stars were nominated. While Yorgos Lanthimos did not land a DGA nomination for this visually sumptuous, wickedly funny portrait of a power-mad monarch (Olivia Colman) romancing two of her ladies in waiting (Emma Stone and Rachel Weisz), he may wind up with a directing nod from the Academy, as well as an Original Screenplay slot (the film was not WGA-eligible), and craft nominations including cinematography and costumes. The British movie leads the BAFTA field with 12 nominations, and Olivia Colman took home the comedy Globe and Critics Choice awards.<\/p>\n

Another Searchlight release, Marielle Heller\u2019s New York memoir \u201cCan You Ever Forgive Me?\u201d will likely land acting nods for the deliciously drunken performances of Melissa McCarthy and Richard E. Grant as well as an Adapted Screenplay nomination for Nicole Holofcener.<\/p>\n

\n
\"First
\u201cFirst Man\u201d\u00a0Universal Pictures<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n<\/div>\n

Likely to rack up seven craft nominations is Damien Chazelle\u2019s moon race\u00a0success d\u2019estime<\/em>, \u201cFirst Man,\u201d which stumbled at the box office but has done well with guild nominations. It could also land a Best Picture spot as well as a win for Justin Hurwitz\u2019s Globe and Critics Choice-winning score.<\/p>\n

A long shot for a Best Picture slot is \u201cMoonlight\u201d writer-director Barry Jenkins\u2019 elegant James Baldwin adaptation \u201cIf Beale Street Could Talk,\u201d which won Best Adapted Screenplay at the Critics Choice Awards (over \u201cBlacKkKlansman\u201d). \u201cIf Beale Street Could Talk\u201d could could also notch nominations for Globe and Critics Choice-winning Supporting Actress (Regina King) \u2014 even without a SAG mention \u2014 as well as composer Nicholas Britell for Score.<\/p>\n

Two A24 films, religious drama \u201cFirst Reformed\u201d and coming-of-age comedy \u201cEighth Grade,\u201d have attracted enough attention from critics groups to make long overdue \u201cTaxi Driver\u201d writer Paul Schrader and newcomer Bo Burnham long-shots for Original Screenplay, and Ethan Hawke a real possibility for Best Actor.<\/p>\n

\n
\""Cold
\u201cCold War\u201d\u00a0Amazon Studios<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n<\/div>\n

In the foreign film race, four movies are likely to make the cut from the foreign committee: \u201cRoma,\u201d Pawel Pawlikowski\u2019s gorgeous black-and-white European romance \u201cCold War\u201d (Poland) \u2014 which could land a cinematography slot, if not a nod for breakout Joanna Kulig \u2014 Hirokazu Kore-Eda\u2019s universal family drama \u201cShoplifters\u201d (Japan), and Nadine Labaki\u2019s gritty story of a street kid, \u201cCapernaum\u201d (Lebanon). The fifth slot is a race among South Korea\u2019s \u201cBurning,\u201d Denmark\u2019s \u201cThe Guilty\u201d and Florian Henkel Von Donnersmarck\u2019s \u201cNever Look Away\u201d (Germany).<\/p>\n

In the documentary race, four box-office hits are vying for slots: Jimmy Chin and Elizabeth Chai Vasarhelyi\u2019s climbing feat \u201cFree Solo\u201d (National Geographic), Betsy West and Julie Cohen\u2019s Ruth Bader Ginsburg valentine \u201cRBG\u201d (CNN\/Magnolia), triplet thriller \u201cThree Identical Strangers\u201d (Neon) and Fred Rogers tearjerker \u201cWon\u2019t You Be My Neighbor?\u201d (Focus Features), while strong contenders include Bing Liu\u2019s moving memoir \u201cMinding the Gap\u201d (Hulu) and embedded Syrian jihadi family portrait \u201cOf Fathers and Sons\u201d (Kino Lorber).<\/p>\n

Here are my final Oscar predictions, in order of likelihood to win. We learn the results at the crack of dawn on January 22.<\/p>\n

Best Picture<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cRoma\u201d (Netflix)
\n\u201cA Star Is Born\u201d (Warner Bros.)
\n\u201cBlacKkKlansman\u201d (Focus Features)
\n\u201cGreen Book\u201d (Universal)
\n\u201cVice\u201d (Annapurna)
\n\u201cBlack Panther\u201d (Marvel\/Disney)
\n\u201cThe Favourite\u201d (Fox Searchlight)
\n\u201cFirst Man\u201d (Universal)
\n\u201cBohemian Rhapsody\u201d (Fox)
\n\u201cIf Beale Street Could Talk\u201d (Annapurna)<\/p>\n

Best Director<\/strong><\/p>\n

Alfonso Cuaron (\u201cRoma\u201d)
\nSpike Lee (\u201cBlacKkKlansman\u201d)
\nBradley Cooper (\u201cA Star Is Born\u201d)
\nYorgos Lanthimos (\u201cThe Favourite\u201d)
\nAdam McKay (\u201cVice\u201d)<\/p>\n

Best Actor<\/strong><\/p>\n

Christian Bale (\u201cVice\u201d)
\nRami Malek (\u201cBohemian Rhapsody\u201d)
\nBradley Cooper (\u201cA Star Is Born\u201d)
\nViggo Mortensen (\u201cGreen Book\u201d)
\nEthan Hawke (\u201cFirst Reformed\u201d)<\/p>\n

Best Actress<\/strong><\/p>\n

Olivia Colman (\u201cThe Favourite\u201d)
\nGlenn Close (\u201cThe Wife\u201d)
\nLady Gaga (\u201cA Star Is Born\u201d)
\nMelissa McCarthy (\u201cCan You Ever Forgive Me?\u201d)
\nYalitza Aparicio (\u201cRoma\u201d)<\/p>\n

Best Supporting Actor<\/strong><\/p>\n

Mahershala Ali (\u201cGreen Book\u201d)
\nRichard E. Grant (\u201cCan You Ever Forgive Me?\u201d)
\nSam Elliott (\u201cA Star Is Born\u201d)
\nTimothee Chalamet (\u201cBeautiful Boy\u201d)
\nAdam Driver (\u201cBlacKkKlansman:)<\/p>\n

Best Supporting Actress<\/strong><\/p>\n

Regina King (\u201cIf Beale Street Could Talk\u201d)
\nAmy Adams (\u201cVice\u201d)
\nRachel Weisz (\u201cThe Favourite\u201d)
\nEmma Stone (\u201cThe Favourite\u201d)
\nEmily Blunt (\u201cA Quiet Place\u201d)<\/p>\n

Best Adapted Screenplay<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cBlacKkKlansman\u201d
\n\u201cCan You Ever Forgive Me?\u201d
\n\u201cBlack Panther\u201d
\n\u201cIf Beale Street Could Talk\u201d
\n\u201cLeave No Trace\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Original Screenplay<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cThe Favourite\u201d
\n\u201cRoma\u201d
\n\u201cGreen Book\u201d
\n\u201cVice\u201d
\n\u201cFirst Reformed\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Animated Feature<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cIncredibles 2\u201d
\n\u201cSpider-Man: Into the Spider-Verse\u201d
\n\u201cRalph Breaks the Internet\u201d
\n\u201cIsle of Dogs\u201d
\n\u201cMirai\u201d<\/p>\n

\"\"
\u201cAge of Sail\u201d<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Best Animated Short<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cBao\u201d
\n\u201cAge of Sail\u201d
\n\u201cBird Karma\u201d
\n\u201cWeekends\u201d
\n\u201cBilby\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Live Action Short<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cCaroline\u201d
\n\u201cSkin\u201d
\n\u201cMarguerite\u201d
\n\u201cDetainment\u201d
\n\u201cIcare\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Cinematography<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cRoma\u201d
\n\u201cThe Favourite\u201d
\n\u201cFirst Man\u201d
\n\u201cA Star Is Born\u201d
\n\u201cCold War\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Costumes\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cBlack Panther\u201d
\n\u201cMary Poppins Returns\u201d
\n\u201cThe Favourite\u201d
\n\u201cMary Queen of Scots\u201d
\n\u201cBohemian Rhapsody\u201d<\/p>\n

\n
\"\"
\u201cFree Solo\u201d<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

\n<\/div>\n

Best Documentary Feature<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cFree Solo\u201d
\n\u201cWon\u2019t You Be My Neighbor?\u201d
\n\u201cRBG\u201d
\n\u201cMinding the Gap\u201d
\n\u201cOf Fathers and Sons\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Documentary Short<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cZion\u201d
\n\u201cBlack Sheep\u201d
\n\u201cWomen of the Gulag\u201d
\n\u201cEnd Game\u201d
\n\u201cPeriod. End of Sentence.\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Editing<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cA Star Is Born\u201d
\n\u201cRoma\u201d
\n\u201cThe Favourite\u201d
\n\u201cVice\u201d
\n\u201cFirst Man\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Foreign Language Film<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cRoma\u201d (Mexico)
\n\u201cCold War\u201d (Poland)
\n\u201cShoplifters\u201d (Japan)
\n\u201cCapernaum\u201d (Lebanon)
\n\u201cNever Look Away\u201d (Germany)<\/p>\n

Best Makeup and Hairstyling<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cVice\u201d
\n\u201cBohemian Rhapsody\u201d
\n\u201cBlack Panther\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Production Design<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cBlack Panther\u201d
\n\u201cRoma\u201d
\n\u201cThe Favourite\u201d
\n\u201cMary Poppins Returns\u201d
\n\u201cFirst Man\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Original Score<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cFirst Man\u201d
\n\u201cIf Beale Street Could Talk\u201d
\n\u201cIsle of Dogs\u201d
\n\u201cBlacKKKlansman\u201d
\n\u201cMary Poppins Returns\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Original Song<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cShallow\u201d (\u201cA Star Is Born\u201d)
\n\u201cAll the Stars\u201d (\u201cBlack Panther\u201d)
\n\u201cI\u2019ll Fight\u201d (\u201cRBG\u201d)
\n\u201cThe Place Where Lost Things Go\u201d (\u201cMary Poppins Returns\u201d)
\n\u201cTrip a Little Light Fantastic\u201d (\u201cMary Poppins Returns\u201d)<\/p>\n

Best Sound Editing<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cA Quiet Place\u201d
\n\u201cFirst Man\u201d
\n\u201cA Star Is Born\u201d
\n\u201cRoma\u201d
\n\u201cBlack Panther\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Sound Mixing<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cA Star Is Born\u201d
\n\u201cBohemian Rhapsody\u201d
\n\u201cA Quiet Place\u201d
\n\u201cRoma\u201d
\n\u201cFirst Man\u201d<\/p>\n

Best Visual Effects<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u201cBlack Panther\u201d
\n\u201cReady Player One\u201d
\n\u201cAvengers Infinity War\u201d
\n\u201cFirst Man\u201d
\n\u201cMary Poppins Returns\u201d<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Source:\u00a0indiewire.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The race is on between global blockbuster “A Star Is Born,” likely to score the most nominations, and Netflix’s Golden Globe and Critics Choice winner “Roma.” The 2019 Oscar race is all about Best Popular Film. Not only does the Academy not need that new category after all this year ...<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":6,"featured_media":92526,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[13867],"tags":[5199,6102],"class_list":["post-92523","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-cinema-tv","tag-nominations","tag-oscar-en"],"acf":false,"yoast_head":"\n2019 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Our Final Selections, Ranked for Each Category - NGradio.gr<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/ngradio.gr\/en\/cinema-tv\/2019-oscar-nomination-predictions-final-selections-ranked-category\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"2019 Oscar Nomination Predictions: Our Final Selections, Ranked for Each Category - NGradio.gr\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"The race is on between global blockbuster “A Star Is Born,” likely to score the most nominations, and Netflix’s Golden Globe and Critics Choice winner “Roma.” The 2019 Oscar race is all about Best Popular Film. 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